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mhhf1ve
mhhf1ve
4/9/2018 12:33:26 AM
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Platinum
Re: Automation Takes Over Jobs
The worry *I* have about advanced AI is the growing and accelerating wealth gap. The people who own the robots and factories will be positioned nicely to profit handsomely while workers and wage earners will become increasingly obsolete in the workplace. How will society adapt to this? Will basic income schemes really be able to support society? Will people have to become artists and creative writers to ever hope to add value to the world?

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mhhf1ve
mhhf1ve
4/9/2018 12:26:22 AM
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Automation Takes Over Jobs
I'm not so sure that Elon Musk isn't right to worry. If we don't at least think about the consequences of super-human AI, then we might be surprised-- unpleasantly if the worst case scenario (or even just a sorta bad scenario happens) in the future. The "flash crash" of the stock market in 2010 should make us all a bit concerned that bots control too much of our economy already.

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Ariella
Ariella
4/8/2018 10:24:38 PM
User Rank
Author
Re: Automation Takes Over Jobs
MIT Technology Review recently ran an article called "Tech companies should stop pretending AI won't destroy jobs"

It will soon be obvious that half of our job tasks can be done better at almost no cost by AI and robots. This will be the fastest transition humankind has experienced, and we're not ready for it.

Not everyone agrees with my view. Some people argue that it will take longer than we think before jobs disappear, since many jobs will be only partially replaced, and companies will try to redeploy those displaced internally. But even if true, that won't stop the inevitable. Others remind us that every technology revolution has created new jobs as it displaced old ones. But it's dangerous to assume this will be the case again.

Then there are the symbiotic optimists, who think that AI combined with humans should be better than either one alone. This will be true for certain professions—doctors, lawyers—but most jobs won't fall in that category. Instead they are routine, single-domain jobs where AI excels over the human by a large margin.

While that outlook is fairly gloomy, the writer says that rather than despair, we should look the situation square in the eye and be proactive: 

These changes are coming, and we need to tell the truth and the whole truth. We need to find the jobs that AI can't do and train people to do them. We need to reinvent education. These will be the best of times and the worst of times. If we act rationally and quickly, we can bask in what's  best rather than wallow in what's  worst.

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vnewman
vnewman
4/8/2018 9:54:59 PM
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Automation Takes Over Jobs
It appears that we - as humans - need to focus on skills that make us human to be gainfully employable. Anything a machine, robot, or a computer can do - they will do.

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Ariella
Ariella
4/8/2018 6:48:37 PM
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Author
Re: Automation Takes Over Jobs
@mhhf1ve I don't quite buy the nightmare scenarios he envisioned for AI (something I wrote about here). But I do buy the fact that likely more jobs will disappear than will be created in terms of total numbe of openings for people, particularly those who are not specifically and highly skilled.

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mpouraryan
mpouraryan
4/6/2018 10:11:26 PM
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Automation Takes Over Jobs
Remember we have to do more than hope--the essence of transformation is about facing the worst and working to overcome it--with the same set of vision and commitment to leave things better than we found it.

 

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mhhf1ve
mhhf1ve
4/6/2018 10:09:14 PM
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Automation Takes Over Jobs
Elon Musk is a true visionary-- but let's hope his pessimistic view of AI doesn't come true. Perhaps we'll thank him for supporting the efforts to create "good AI" to counter the possible neutral to malicious AI that could threaten our very existence.

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mpouraryan
mpouraryan
4/6/2018 8:31:04 PM
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Automation Takes Over Jobs
Elon Musk has underscored this as such as we should be aware of this profound challenge before us.

Onward to the weekend.

 

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mhhf1ve
mhhf1ve
4/6/2018 8:26:07 PM
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Automation Takes Over Jobs
There is always a fear of the unknown. And with hyper-automation, there are plenty of uncertainties for the future. If AI gets super-human intellegence, perhaps we'll all be obsolete? :P

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mpouraryan
mpouraryan
4/6/2018 6:53:27 PM
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Automation Takes Over Jobs
The key takeaway, as I see it, is this:  We're not ready--and to me it is tragic.   We need to be able to create the future.   I wonder if this is understood!!

 

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