Comments
dlr5288
1/31/2018 12:45:31 PM User Rank Platinum
Re: Managing 5G Multi-Cloud
It’s exciting to see what will happen with 5G. No doubt there will be many changes and advancements with it. It could be a lot to handle but also important moving into the future.
afwriter
1/30/2018 10:15:58 PM User Rank Platinum
Re: Complexity
At least the predictions start now and not 5 -10 years from now like most tech prognosticators like to do.
Ariella
1/29/2018 11:01:56 AM User Rank Author
Re: Complexity
@afwriter I find it interesting on so many levels, including the fact that so many diverse projections can be based on what has to be basically the same body of data. That points out to me that even those presenting their views as unbiased analytics put some spin on things.
afwriter
1/28/2018 10:43:43 PM User Rank Platinum
Re: Complexity
Thank you for sharing, this is incredibly interesting and something that I think deserves a deeper dive. I am especially interested in the numbers between 2027 and 2030.
Ariella
1/28/2018 5:19:52 PM User Rank Author
Re: Complexity
After I posted that comment, I came across a fascinating MIT Technology Review article on the various projections for job gains and losses anticipated to occur over the next few years.
Predicted Jobs Automation Will Create and Destroy
When | Where | Jobs Destroyed | Jobs Created | Predictor |
2016 |
worldwide |
|
900,000 to 1,500,000 |
Metra Martech |
2018 |
US jobs |
13,852,530 |
3,078,340 |
Forrester |
2020 |
worldwide |
|
1,000,000-2,000,000 |
Metra Martech |
2020 |
worldwide |
1,800,000 |
2,300,000 |
Gartner |
2020 |
sampling of 15 countries |
7,100,000 |
2,000,000 |
World Economic Forum (WEF) |
2021 |
worldwide |
|
1,900,000-3,500,000 |
The International Federation of Robotics |
2021 |
US jobs |
9,108,900 |
|
Forrester |
2022 |
worldwide |
1,000,000,000 |
|
Thomas Frey |
2025 |
US jobs |
24,186,240 |
13,604,760 |
Forrester |
2025 |
US jobs |
3,400,000 |
|
ScienceAlert |
2027 |
US jobs |
24,700,000 |
14,900,000 |
Forrester |
2030 |
worldwide |
2,000,000,000 |
|
Thomas Frey |
2030 |
worldwide |
400,000,000-800,000,000 |
|
McKinsey |
2030 |
US jobs |
58,164,320 |
|
PWC |
2033 |
US jobs |
67,876,460 |
|
Oxford University |
2035 |
US jobs |
80,000,000 |
|
Bank of England |
2035 |
UK jobs |
15,000,000 |
|
Bank of England |
No Date |
US jobs |
13,594,320 |
|
OECD |
No Date |
UK jobs |
13,700,000 |
|
IPPR |
As you can see, no one agrees. Predictions range from optimistic to devastating, differing by tens of millions of jobs even when comparing similar time frames. We also found numerous predictions focused on losses in one industry, and many that were the result of a single technology, like autonomous vehicles.
Re: Complexity
Very true. As long as we hit the balance we are good in terms of the direction we are heading to.
Ariella
1/25/2018 5:40:17 PM User Rank Author
Re: Complexity
I would think that there may be new jobs created for people with the skills to manage the new technololgy. Other jobs likelys will be displaced, but I'd hope, that on balance, we would not lose more than we gain on the job front.
Re: Complexity
@afwriter:
I would assume so. Looking at all moving parts and ambiguities around i wouldn't anticipate anything quick. It surely will be sometime for things to start working. Since there are multiple areas invoved, there is a good potential fot creation of jobs in those areas.
afwriter
1/17/2018 4:18:57 PM User Rank Platinum
Complexity
It sounds like this is going to be something that plays out over a decade or more. I wonder if this complexity will create jobs to help at different layers over the next few years.
clrmoney
1/17/2018 7:56:02 AM User Rank Platinum
Managing 5G Multi-Cloud
Well multi means many which means many things to do and to offer so this multi cloud for 5G will be a lot to handle but I'm sure it can be done for the customers and their business so that they will have more revenue mainly automated for years to come.
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