Contributors   |   Messages   |   Polls   |   Resources   |  
Comments
clrmoney
clrmoney
1/17/2018 7:56:02 AM
User Rank
Platinum
Managing 5G Multi-Cloud
Well multi means many which means many things to do and to offer so this multi cloud for 5G will be a lot to handle but I'm sure it can be done for the customers and their business so that they will have more revenue mainly automated for years to come.

50%
50%
dlr5288
dlr5288
1/31/2018 12:45:31 PM
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Managing 5G Multi-Cloud
It’s exciting to see what will happen with 5G. No doubt there will be many changes and advancements with it. It could be a lot to handle but also important moving into the future.

50%
50%
afwriter
afwriter
1/17/2018 4:18:57 PM
User Rank
Platinum
Complexity
It sounds like this is going to be something that plays out over a decade or more. I wonder if this complexity will create jobs to help at different layers over the next few years. 

50%
50%
ms.akkineni
ms.akkineni
1/21/2018 11:29:36 PM
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Complexity
@afwriter:

I would assume so. Looking at all moving parts and ambiguities around i wouldn't anticipate anything quick. It surely will be sometime for things to start working. Since there are multiple areas invoved, there is a good potential fot creation of jobs in those areas.

50%
50%
Ariella
Ariella
1/25/2018 5:40:17 PM
User Rank
Author
Re: Complexity
I would think that there may be new jobs created for people with the skills to manage the new technololgy. Other jobs likelys will be displaced, but I'd hope, that on balance, we would not lose more than we gain on the job front.

50%
50%
ms.akkineni
ms.akkineni
1/26/2018 5:30:57 PM
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Complexity
Very true. As long as we hit the balance we are good in terms of the direction we are heading to.

50%
50%
Ariella
Ariella
1/28/2018 5:19:52 PM
User Rank
Author
Re: Complexity
After I posted that comment, I came across a fascinating MIT Technology Review article on the various projections for job gains and losses anticipated to occur over the next few years. 
Predicted Jobs Automation Will Create and Destroy
WhenWhereJobs
Destroyed
Jobs CreatedPredictor
2016 worldwide   900,000 to 1,500,000 Metra Martech
2018 US jobs 13,852,530 3,078,340 Forrester
2020 worldwide   1,000,000-2,000,000 Metra Martech
2020 worldwide 1,800,000 2,300,000 Gartner
2020 sampling of 15 countries 7,100,000 2,000,000 World Economic Forum (WEF)
2021 worldwide   1,900,000-3,500,000 The International Federation of Robotics
2021 US jobs 9,108,900   Forrester
2022 worldwide 1,000,000,000   Thomas Frey
2025 US jobs 24,186,240 13,604,760 Forrester
2025 US jobs 3,400,000   ScienceAlert
2027 US jobs 24,700,000 14,900,000 Forrester
2030 worldwide 2,000,000,000   Thomas Frey
2030 worldwide 400,000,000-800,000,000   McKinsey
2030 US jobs 58,164,320   PWC
2033 US jobs 67,876,460   Oxford University
2035 US jobs 80,000,000   Bank of England
2035 UK jobs 15,000,000   Bank of England
No Date US jobs 13,594,320   OECD
No Date UK jobs 13,700,000   IPPR

As you can see, no one agrees. Predictions range from optimistic to devastating, differing by tens of millions of jobs even when comparing similar time frames. We also found numerous predictions focused on losses in one industry, and many that were the result of a single technology, like autonomous vehicles.  

50%
50%
afwriter
afwriter
1/28/2018 10:43:43 PM
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Complexity
Thank you for sharing, this is incredibly interesting and something that I think deserves a deeper dive. I am especially interested in the numbers between 2027 and 2030.

50%
50%
Ariella
Ariella
1/29/2018 11:01:56 AM
User Rank
Author
Re: Complexity
@afwriter I find it interesting on so many levels, including the fact that so many diverse projections can be based on what has to be basically the same body of data. That points out to me that even those presenting their views as unbiased analytics put some spin on things.

50%
50%
afwriter
afwriter
1/30/2018 10:15:58 PM
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Complexity
At least the predictions start now and not 5 -10 years from now like most tech prognosticators like to do. 

50%
50%
ms.akkineni
ms.akkineni
2/22/2018 4:06:46 PM
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Complexity
First i would like to thank @Ariella for sharing very interesting stats. That is so informative.

@afwriter:

Let me second you about the trends starting 2027 thru 2030. It is concerning to see numbers during that timeframe.

50%
50%
freehe
freehe
2/24/2018 11:14:43 PM
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Complexity
This confirms what I have been saying. Many people will become unemployed as companies increase their use of technology including 5G. Companies will retrain some employees but I don't if companies will spend money to retrain all employees whose jobs will be eliminated. Your statistics are very alarming. It makes me sad that so many employees will lose their jobs.

50%
50%
Ariella
Ariella
2/25/2018 9:52:00 AM
User Rank
Author
Re: Complexity
@freehe I agree that the inevitable result is loss of jobs, though what the net loss will be is very much in dispute. On January 25, MIT Technology Review published this: https://www.technologyreview.com/s/610005/every-study-we-could-find-on-what-automation-will-do-to-jobs-in-one-chart/:

As you can see, no one agrees. Predictions range from optimistic to devastating, differing by tens of millions of jobs even when comparing similar time frames. We also found numerous predictions focused on losses in one industry, and many that were the result of a single technology, like autonomous vehicles.  

Of course, not all statistics are created equal. The most commonly cited numbers were from three places: a 2013 Oxford study that said 47 percent of US jobs will be automated in the next few decades, an OECD study suggesting that 9 percent of jobs in the organization's 21 member countries are automatable, and a McKinsey report from last year that said 400 million to 800 million jobs worldwide could be automated by 2030.

In short, although these predictions are made by dozens of global experts in economics and technology, no one seems to be on the same page. There is really only one meaningful conclusion: we have no idea how many jobs will actually be lost to the march of technological progress.

50%
50%
mpouraryan
mpouraryan
2/25/2018 1:25:51 PM
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Complexity
The reality cannot be disputed despite th reservations being expressed by MIT.  There needs to be the conversation now and saying "we don't know" is frankly irresponsible.

 

50%
50%
Ariella
Ariella
2/25/2018 2:12:01 PM
User Rank
Author
Re: Complexity
@mpouraryan Certainly, though it seems pretty clear to me that some paint a rosier outlook than others because of their own vested intersts. You would need someone who is completed disinterested (not uninterested) to assess objectively and come up with a plan based on the likeliest outcome.

50%
50%
Ariella
Ariella
2/25/2018 2:12:02 PM
User Rank
Author
Re: Complexity
@mpouraryan Certainly, though it seems pretty clear to me that some paint a rosier outlook than others because of their own vested intersts. You would need someone who is completed disinterested (not uninterested) to assess objectively and come up with a plan based on the likeliest outcome.

50%
50%
mpouraryan
mpouraryan
2/25/2018 2:25:43 PM
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Complexity
The key is to read wildy and then make our own judgement.  What is clear is that Automation is here to stay--and everyone is impacted.   The debate has to happen now and the idea that "no one knows" is not the right outlook to embrace!!!  



Onward to March!!

 

50%
50%
freehe
freehe
2/24/2018 11:15:05 PM
User Rank
Platinum
Re: Complexity
@Ariella, This will have a huge impact on the ecoonomy and will result in an increase in unemployment and underemployment, cause an increase in social services and unemployment compensation, increase short sales and foreclosures.

50%
50%
freehe
freehe
2/24/2018 11:18:04 PM
User Rank
Platinum
5G and Jobs
I agree that the key is to strike a balance but I doubt most companies will be able to achieve that. As of now Amazon has not. They have only retrained 40% of the employees whose jobs were eliminated. Amazon uses 100,000 robots. I forsee that this will be a trend. What will happen to the employees who are laid off?

 

50%
50%
dlr5288
dlr5288
2/28/2018 5:25:18 PM
User Rank
Platinum
Re: 5G and Jobs
Well said. It is a scary thought too. Now so many people are being put out of a job because of “robots” or electronics. When will it end? Or will all people eventually be left behind?

50%
50%


Latest Articles
Italy's 5G auction could exceed a government target of raising €2.5 billion ($2.9 billion) after attracting interest from companies outside the mobile market.
The emerging-markets operator is focusing on the humdrum business of connectivity and keeping quiet about some of its ill-fated 'digitalization' efforts.
Three UK has picked Huawei over existing radio access network suppliers Nokia and Samsung to build its 5G network.
Vendor says that it's its biggest 5G deal to date.
Verizon skates where the puck is going by waiting for standards-based 5G devices to launch its mobile service in 2019.
On-the-Air Thursdays Digital Audio
Orange has been one of the leading proponents of SDN and NFV. In this Telco Transformation radio show, Orange's John Isch provides some perspective on his company's NFV/SDN journey.
Special Huawei Video
10/16/2017
Huawei Network Transformation Seminar
The adoption of virtualization technology and cloud architectures by telecom network operators is now well underway but there is still a long way to go before the transition to an era of Network Functions Cloudification (NFC) is complete.
Video
The Small Cell Forum's CEO Sue Monahan says that small cells will be crucial for indoor 5G coverage, but challenges around business models, siting ...
People, strategy, a strong technology roadmap and new business processes are the key underpinnings of Telstra's digital transformation, COO Robyn ...
Eric Bozich, vice president of products and marketing at CenturyLink, talks about the challenges and opportunities of integrating Level 3 into ...
Epsilon's Mark Daley, director of digital strategy and business development, talks about digital transformation from a wholesale service provider ...
Bill Walker, CenturyLink's director of network architecture, shares his insights on why training isn't enough for IT employees and traditional ...
All Videos
Telco Transformation
About Us     Contact Us     Help     Register     Twitter     Facebook     RSS
Copyright © 2020 Light Reading, part of Informa Tech,
a division of Informa PLC. All rights reserved. Privacy Policy | Cookie Policy | Terms of Use
in partnership with