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dlr5288
dlr5288
5/31/2016 11:24:02 AM
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Platinum
Re: IOT Future
Very true. It's hard not to get caught up in technology. Even though it is cool to see how far we've come, you're right. It has to be controlled.

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JohnBarnes
JohnBarnes
5/30/2016 6:18:49 PM
User Rank
Platinum
Re: IOT Future
Michelle,

I've always been half-inclined to buy the arguments of Julian Jaynes (The Origins of Consciousness in the Breakdown of the Bicameral Mind) and of Michel Foucault (especially in The Order of Things) that people in the past simply thought differently from people today -- not just that they had different opinions or viewpoints, which is obvious, but that their brains worked in a fundamentally different way. (There's quite  a bit of this in Nick Carr's THE SHALLOWS, too, a book guaranteed to offend most of the tech people online).

But before we have even really begun to adapt to a consciousness built around permanent distraction and constant noisy screaming for our attention, I think we're going to be swamped by the power of machine learning plus big data to allow us to see so many things we never could before -- including, at first, things of types we don't recognize. 

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Michelle
Michelle
5/30/2016 12:31:02 PM
User Rank
Platinum
Re: IOT Future
@John I knew I could count on you for insight! Thank you. I'm facinated by the prospect of connecting all the data to actions. Understanding the relationship of purchases to other factors is facinating (and a little scary too). 

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JohnBarnes
JohnBarnes
5/29/2016 11:04:44 PM
User Rank
Platinum
Re: IOT Future
M Pouraryan,


I don't worry so much about the genie turning out to be treacherous as I do about an idea that the late radical philosopher Philip Slater once suggested, half-playfully: the wishes that have the most power are the unconscious ones, because by definition we don't see them directing us and they come from places we don't like.

So I don't think we're going to create Frankenstein's monster, who will then make monster brides and take over the world.

I worry a lot more about our creating the technology to turn ourselves into the monsters, and simultaneously making a world in which it pays to be a monster.

(Anyone ever seen the great old science fiction movie Forbidden Planet? "Monsters from the id, captain, it's monsters from the id!")

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JohnBarnes
JohnBarnes
5/29/2016 10:53:42 PM
User Rank
Platinum
Re: IoT
freehe, dir5288,

I suspect a part of the reason why so many tech terms become non-understood executive buzzwords is that so many business decisions are made, even today, by the seat of the pants (or pulled from somewhere close to that) and then confirmed as correct by the business principle that The Boss Is The Boss. 

But that's exactly what the big data analytics revolution is mustering to overthrow. You can see that already in many of the interviews here at TT; yes, we still have the occasional exec quoting lines that PR fed him, but more and more, it's clear that executives are being forced to wade in and understand the dance between business and tech from both sides. So it's an old problem, but I think we may all be surprised at how fast it goes away.

I am wondering where my sudden attack of optimism came from ... <g>

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JohnBarnes
JohnBarnes
5/29/2016 10:46:52 PM
User Rank
Platinum
Re: IOT Future
@Michelle,

Some kinds of analysis are done fairly routinely, the sort of thing that you can get out of very simple percent-by-type tables and graphs.  So Walmart probably knows whether lawnmowers sell better in Wisconsin or Idaho, maybe even county by county. They might or might not know what the relationship is between home ownership and lawnmower ownership (as related to, say, annual rainfall and percentage of houses under HOAs). Almost for sure they haven't been back through their BILLIONS of transaction records with a machine-learning algorithm that could figure out how the homeowner-lawnmower relationship changes per cultural demographic, prevailing terrain, and generations.

And right now, the data analysts to compile and clean the data, the software engineers to write the machine learning algorithm, and the data scientists to interpret the results into a system of equations they can use to develop their product orders and marketing plans would cost a few million dollars in development costs, and there's not that much money in lawnmower sales.

But in a very few years, it will cost ... a few dollars. Whole process automated, start to finish, eventually. And then it will be applied to EVERYTHING.

So that huge archive is mostly unexploited, except in the simplest way. It won't stay that way.

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Michelle
Michelle
5/29/2016 5:35:58 PM
User Rank
Platinum
Re: IOT Future
@John thanks for enlightening those of us who live under rocks. I assumed less than an optimal amound of data was actually used, but didn't think so much would go straight to storage. So the future of all these connected things isn't the connection or the things themselves, but the AI?

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mpouraryan
mpouraryan
5/28/2016 2:36:35 PM
User Rank
Platinum
Re: IOT Future
It is fascinating--but at times rather scary.    We have to control this "genie" before it consumes us--As I see it, it is the ultimate challenge as we are all witness to this transformation effort.

 

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dlr5288
dlr5288
5/28/2016 1:39:27 PM
User Rank
Platinum
Re: IOT Future
Thank you for this! I find this so fascinating and exciting! It's so cool to see how far we've come with technology when it comes to automobiles.

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mpouraryan
mpouraryan
5/27/2016 10:47:44 PM
User Rank
Platinum
Re: IOT Future
Before "running off" for the W-End, I wanted to report on this I saw which underscores what Mike was try to underscore in his column:

Otto is Turning Trucks Into Self-Driving Giants


otto self driving truck

What it is: Otto is a startup founded by ex-Google employees that has created a kit enabling companies to retrofit a commercial truck into a self-driving car. In tests, Otto's sensor-laden hardware and OS transformed a Volvo VNL 780 into a self-driving truck; the team's next step is to work with Class 8 trucks.

Why it's important: Otto's kits let companies create their own self-driving fleets without replacing every single vehicle. While this solution won't replace drivers entirely -- currently, a human still needs to be in the vehicle -- it will hopefully provide long-haul human drivers the critical backup they need for safer, more efficient drives.

enough said...

Wishing all a restful Memorial Day WeekEnd.

 

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